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Are you using real, current numbers — not rough guesses that flatter the result?
Skip or Ship — Free Calculators
Calculate Total Addressable Market, Serviceable Addressable Market, and Serviceable Obtainable Market for your pitch deck or business plan. Free, no signup.
Are you using real, current numbers — not rough guesses that flatter the result?
Is your result healthy for your specific business model, not just positive?
Which single input, if wrong, would change the result most?
Does this hold up over 12 months, or only at today's volume?
What should change in the business because of this number?
TAM/SAM/SOM sizing gets a bad name because most founders inflate it — 'the global market is $500B, if we capture just 1%...' is the fastest way to lose investor trust.
This calculator forces bottom-up sizing: start from a real buyer count and real spend per buyer, then narrow down honestly. That's the version investors actually believe.
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Bottom-up market sizing: total buyers × annual spend, narrowed down to what you can reach and realistically win.
Results
A good number doesn't mean a good idea.
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TAM (Total Addressable Market) is the revenue opportunity if you captured 100% of the market — an upper bound, not a target. SAM (Serviceable Addressable Market) is the slice you can actually reach given your geography, language, and business model. SOM (Serviceable Obtainable Market) is what you could realistically win in the next 2–3 years given competition and your resources.
Top-down sizing starts with a huge global number and applies an arbitrary percentage. Bottom-up sizing starts with a specific buyer count (e.g. '4,200 UK accounting practices with 5–20 staff') and a realistic spend per buyer, then works up. Investors can sanity-check bottom-up numbers; they instantly discount top-down ones.
Direct answer — Market Size Calculator (TAM/SAM/SOM)
Calculate Total Addressable Market, Serviceable Addressable Market, and Serviceable Obtainable Market for your pitch deck or business plan. Free, no signup.
Describe your idea and the Skip or Ship engine returns a Ship, Fix, or Skip verdict with a full 10-category score breakdown — free, in 30 seconds, no signup.
Bottom-up, not top-down: count your specific potential buyers (TAM), multiply by realistic annual spend per buyer, then narrow to the share you can actually reach given geography and channel (SAM), and the share you could realistically win in 2–3 years given competition (SOM). Enter those four numbers above and the calculator does the rest.
Most credible SOM estimates land between 1% and 10% of SAM within 3–5 years, depending on competition density and your distribution advantage. Anything above 20% needs an unusually strong justification.
They care about TAM as a ceiling check — is the market even big enough to build a venture-scale business — but they weight SAM and SOM far more heavily when assessing near-term viability.
Yes. Many highly profitable indie businesses operate in TAMs under £50M because they own the niche completely and charge premium prices. Small TAM only matters if you need venture-scale returns.
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