Market demand
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Skip or Ship — Free Calculators
Calculate Total Addressable Market, Serviceable Addressable Market, and Serviceable Obtainable Market for your pitch deck or business plan. Free, no signup.
Are buyers already searching for this problem?
How crowded is the space for this exact outcome?
Can a focused team ship a credible first version quickly?
Is there a believable way to monetize early?
Do you know exactly who owns this pain day to day?
TAM/SAM/SOM sizing gets a bad name because most founders inflate it — 'the global market is $500B, if we capture just 1%...' is the fastest way to lose investor trust.
This calculator forces bottom-up sizing: start from a real buyer count and real spend per buyer, then narrow down honestly. That's the version investors actually believe.
Free calculator
Bottom-up market sizing: total buyers × annual spend, narrowed down to what you can reach and realistically win.
Results
TAM (Total Addressable Market) is the revenue opportunity if you captured 100% of the market — an upper bound, not a target. SAM (Serviceable Addressable Market) is the slice you can actually reach given your geography, language, and business model. SOM (Serviceable Obtainable Market) is what you could realistically win in the next 2–3 years given competition and your resources.
Top-down sizing starts with a huge global number and applies an arbitrary percentage. Bottom-up sizing starts with a specific buyer count (e.g. '4,200 UK accounting practices with 5–20 staff') and a realistic spend per buyer, then works up. Investors can sanity-check bottom-up numbers; they instantly discount top-down ones.
Direct answer
The Skip or Ship Idea Lifecycle System evaluates ideas with five consistent signals: market demand, competition intensity, execution difficulty, revenue potential, and customer clarity. Same inputs, same verdict — every time.
One buyer segment with recurring pain and a clear trigger to pay now. If that is vague, validation can't fix it.
Generic ICPs, vague outcomes, and zero distribution plan. These collapse execution speed within weeks.
One channel, one wedge use case, one pricing hypothesis to test in the next 14 days.
Move from idea generation into evidence-based validation with the core Skip or Ship Idea Lifecycle System. Free verdict, premium signal cards, no signup needed for the first run.
Most credible SOM estimates land between 1% and 10% of SAM within 3–5 years, depending on competition density and your distribution advantage. Anything above 20% needs an unusually strong justification.
They care about TAM as a ceiling check — is the market even big enough to build a venture-scale business — but they weight SAM and SOM far more heavily when assessing near-term viability.
Yes. Many highly profitable indie businesses operate in TAMs under £50M because they own the niche completely and charge premium prices. Small TAM only matters if you need venture-scale returns.
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